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March 1, 2018

Present: Shahida Dar, Julie Dewan, Jen DeWeerth (chair), Dayton Elseth, Matt Fikes, Chrono Ho, Dan Ianno, Lew Kahler, Kristen Skobla, Tim Thomas

1) Enrollment Projection for 2018-19


Matt presented updated charts and graphs featuring FTE based raw data and trend lines.


  • AAFTE is projected at a slight -.3% drop. However, 15% of estimated 18-19 FTEs are HS, and the projected 25% drop = 175 FTE. Which gives a -4.1% decrease
  • Base estimate projection showed -5% for Spring 19, incl. 25% decrease in dual credit.

Other topics included:


  • New programs: plus for sports management, construction management, but numbers not anticipated for fall 2018.

  • Health program apps are down, so +5 not +15 for nursing, and RC and Rad Tech both planned slightly smaller (-8 total)

  • HS graduating class in June 2018 expected -150, so that will impact

  • CIPP very small, insignificant enrollment

  • Discussion of data and factors led to an agreement that while -4.5% was possible, factors could be slightly better than expected, leading to -4.1%. This is basically almost steady for non HS, and down 25% for dual credit.